| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aug 30 2025 | W | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 67-7 | 1620.9 | +0.0 | 1620.9 | 66.7% |
| 3 | Sep 6 2025 | W | Kent State | 62-14 | 1620.9 | +1.6 | 1622.5 | 97.5% |
| 4 | Sep 13 2025 | W | Oregon State | 45-14 | 1622.5 | +11.0 | 1633.5 | 83.0% |
| 5 | Sep 20 2025 | W | Utah | 34-10 | 1633.5 | +42.7 | 1676.2 | 57.7% |
| 7 | Oct 4 2025 | W | Houston | 35-11 | 1676.2 | +34.7 | 1710.9 | 66.6% |
| 8 | Oct 11 2025 | W | Kansas | 42-17 | 1710.9 | +22.9 | 1733.8 | 66.3% |
| 9 | Oct 18 2025 | L | Arizona State | 22-26 | 1733.8 | -37.7 | 1696.1 | 52.2% |
| 10 | Oct 25 2025 | W | Oklahoma State | 42-0 | 1696.1 | +4.9 | 1701.0 | 92.4% |
| 11 | Nov 1 2025 | W | Kansas State | 43-20 | 1701.0 | +43.1 | 1744.1 | 57.1% |
| 12 | Nov 8 2025 | W | BYU | 29-7 | 1744.1 | +48.8 | 1792.9 | 35.1% |
| 13 | Nov 15 2025 | W | UCF | 48-9 | 1792.9 | +5.7 | 1798.6 | 91.1% |
| 15 | Nov 29 2025 | W | West Virginia | 49-0 | 1798.6 | +16.9 | 1815.5 | 84.7% |
| 16 | Dec 6 2025 | W | BYU | 34-7 | 1815.5 | +46.2 | 1861.7 | 45.6% |
| 20 | Jan 1 2026 | L | Oregon | 0-23 | 1861.7 | -21.3 | 1840.4 | 25.1% |